Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Poehling 47.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Nelson
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Nelson
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.1% (437)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
56.4% (39)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
61.5% (13)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Nelson
Poehling
Home
49.8% (458)
46.6% (232)
Away
49.0% (506)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Nelson
Poehling
P1
50.1%
43.9%
P2
45.4%
49.1%
P3
52.7%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |