Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Strome 42.3% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 73.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Nelson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
41.2% (1,040)
+10.1%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
43.0% (151)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
51.4% (35)
+0.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Nelson
Strome
Home
52.5% (590)
40.1% (581)
Away
51.7% (619)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Nelson
Strome
P1
50.5%
41.4%
P2
54.4%
42.9%
P3
51.4%
40.5%
OT
47.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
52.1%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
41.7%