Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Nosek 53.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 80.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 62.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Nelson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Nelson
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Nelson
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
55.1% (557)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (4)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
47.7% (111)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nosek
Home
49.8% (458)
52.3% (342)
Away
49.0% (506)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Nelson
Nosek
P1
50.1%
49.0%
P2
45.4%
53.8%
P3
52.7%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |