Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Nosek 48.5% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Nelson
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
52.0% (102)
-1.1%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
100.0% (2)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
29.0% (31)
+14.4%
On power play, Nosek has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nosek
Home
52.9% (654)
52.0% (50)
Away
48.9% (658)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Nelson
Nosek
P1
48.4%
45.0%
P2
54.3%
42.0%
P3
50.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%