Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Jost 47.3% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Nelson
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
45.7% (116)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
37.5% (8)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
50.0% (2)
+1.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jost
Home
52.5% (590)
39.7% (68)
Away
51.7% (619)
51.7% (58)
By Period
Nelson
Jost
P1
50.5%
40.5%
P2
54.4%
47.9%
P3
51.4%
47.2%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
52.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%