Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Jost 44.8% (+11.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Nelson
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
39.5% (86)
+11.4%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
0.0% (1)
+59.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
42.9% (7)
+0.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Jost is 34.4% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jost
Home
52.9% (654)
38.9% (54)
Away
48.9% (658)
40.0% (40)
By Period
Nelson
Jost
P1
48.4%
42.4%
P2
54.3%
37.8%
P3
50.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.4%