Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs Norris 53.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 57.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 65.8%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Mittelstadt
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
53.6% (560)
-8.9%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
56.0% (109)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
53.1% (98)
-13.1%
On power play, Norris has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
46.0% (491)
53.6% (373)
Away
42.4% (512)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
44.0%
61.8%
P2
46.4%
51.7%
P3
41.9%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Josh Norris |