Casey Mittelstadt vs Josh Norris
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Norris 52.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 86.0%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 84.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 83.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Mittelstadt
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
Mittelstadt
Norris
Last 10: Mittelstadt 1-9 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Mittelstadt
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
4
Mittelstadt
Norris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
5
Mittelstadt
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
52.5% (3,089)
-7.5%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
53.4% (412)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
45.4% (240)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
46.7% (2,317)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
46.7%
55.5%
P2
46.1%
51.5%
P3
44.0%
50.1%
OT
36.6%
39.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |