Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Norris 49.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 56.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Mittelstadt
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mittelstadt
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Mittelstadt
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
50.5% (388)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.6% (84)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Norris
Home
58.7% (92)
48.1% (233)
Away
42.0% (81)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Norris
P1
47.7%
53.1%
P2
48.2%
49.2%
P3
56.7%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |