Chandler Stephenson vs Joe Pavelski
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.5%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Stephenson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stephenson
Pavelski
Last 6: Stephenson 3-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Stephenson
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
52.5% (570)
-1.5%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
54.5% (145)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
44.4% (36)
+5.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Stephenson is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Stephenson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pavelski
Home
53.3% (634)
55.0% (391)
Away
50.7% (621)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Stephenson
Pavelski
P1
50.7%
50.8%
P2
51.2%
55.0%
P3
53.2%
52.0%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |