Chandler Stephenson vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.4% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 73.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 72.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 73.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Stephenson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
19
(29 meetings)
10
19
Stephenson
Pavelski
Last 10: Stephenson 1-9 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
8
Stephenson
Pavelski
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
7
6
Stephenson
Pavelski
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Stephenson
Pavelski
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (5,576)
53.6% (8,791)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.7% (1,052)
58.2% (2,122)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (793)
50.9% (1,138)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,567).
Stephenson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pavelski
Home
52.5% (3,688)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
52.3% (3,733)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Stephenson
Pavelski
P1
51.8%
53.5%
P2
52.5%
55.2%
P3
52.6%
53.9%
OT
57.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |