Chandler Stephenson vs Joe Pavelski

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stephenson wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 57.4% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor Pavelski leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Pavelski 57.0%
Defensive zone Pavelski 57.0%
Neutral zone Pavelski 56.5%
Result Joe Pavelski favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Stephenson Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 5 (10 meetings)
5
5
Stephenson Pavelski
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Pavelski

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Stephenson Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
2
Stephenson Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Stephenson Pavelski
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
52.3% (560)
+5.4%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
57.5% (113)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
62.5% (16)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +15.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Stephenson is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (486).
Stephenson shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pavelski
Home
56.2% (589)
54.2% (360)
Away
60.0% (573)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Stephenson
Pavelski
P1
58.3%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
56.7%
P3
57.9%
50.8%
OT
54.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
57.7%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%
54.0%
58.1%
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
53.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 8, 2023 3 13:02 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Apr 8, 2023 3 10:14 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Apr 8, 2023 3 03:04 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Apr 8, 2023 2 10:49 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Apr 8, 2023 1 18:13 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Apr 8, 2023 1 17:56 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Apr 8, 2023 1 12:08 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Apr 8, 2023 1 01:47 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 25, 2023 2 03:12 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Feb 25, 2023 1 14:20 Defensive Chandler Stephenson