Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Frost 56.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 60.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 79.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 58.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stephenson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stephenson
Frost
Last 7: Stephenson 3-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Stephenson
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
56.0% (755)
-4.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
60.1% (173)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
88.9% (9)
-49.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Frost
Home
53.1% (672)
57.3% (497)
Away
51.1% (628)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Stephenson
Frost
P1
54.2%
60.2%
P2
50.7%
56.0%
P3
52.0%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |