Chandler Stephenson vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Frost 50.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 60.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Stephenson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Stephenson
Frost
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
9
Stephenson
Frost
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
3
Stephenson
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
8
3
Stephenson
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
49.7% (3,652)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
55.4% (632)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
55.0% (40)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Frost
Home
52.6% (3,827)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Stephenson
Frost
P1
51.6%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
51.3%
P3
52.9%
48.8%
OT
57.4%
64.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |