Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Coyle 51.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 87.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.6%
Neutral zone
Point 68.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Coyle
Last 5: Point 1-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
4
Point
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
53.0% (1,046)
-7.1%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
57.6% (144)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
43.6% (287)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
45.8% (286)
54.5% (719)
Away
45.5% (358)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
45.9%
51.1%
P2
48.8%
50.0%
P3
40.6%
53.3%
OT
62.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |