Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Barzal 39.3% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Coyle
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Barzal
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Coyle
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
35.0% (283)
+17.7%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
On even strength, Coyle has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Barzal is 26.8% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Coyle
Barzal
Home
53.3% (512)
37.0% (138)
Away
51.9% (507)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Coyle
Barzal
P1
53.8%
29.5%
P2
47.8%
44.5%
P3
56.7%
31.8%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |