Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Barzal 41.9% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 69.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Coyle
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
40.9% (469)
+11.4%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
34.2% (38)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
28.6% (7)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Coyle
Barzal
Home
49.0% (567)
39.2% (250)
Away
52.0% (540)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Coyle
Barzal
P1
49.5%
46.3%
P2
49.4%
36.7%
P3
52.6%
38.5%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |