Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Barzal 42.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 84.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Coyle
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Coyle
Barzal
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
4
5
Coyle
Barzal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Barzal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
3
Coyle
Barzal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
41.9% (3,571)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
43.4% (205)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
42.3% (26)
+1.2%
On even strength, Coyle has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Barzal is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,098).
Home / Away
Coyle
Barzal
Home
49.8% (4,865)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Coyle
Barzal
P1
49.5%
40.6%
P2
48.3%
44.6%
P3
48.8%
41.1%
OT
49.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |