Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 79.6%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 64.4%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 74.7%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Coyle
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
37.6% (197)
+15.4%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
50.0% (6)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
0.0% (3)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
54.5% (719)
43.0% (114)
Away
48.8% (758)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
51.1%
40.0%
P2
50.0%
35.7%
P3
53.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |