Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 80.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.3%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 58.1%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
40.5% (190)
+11.8%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
42.9% (14)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
30.0% (10)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
49.0% (567)
40.7% (118)
Away
52.0% (540)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
49.5%
42.3%
P2
49.4%
37.5%
P3
52.6%
40.3%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |