Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 85.9%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 84.4%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 85.5%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Coyle
Buchnevich
Last 10: Coyle 1-9 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
6
Coyle
Buchnevich
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,657)
33.7% (819)
+15.6%
Power Play
50.0% (778)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,055)
21.9% (32)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,791).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
49.7% (4,692)
34.9% (459)
Away
47.9% (4,798)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
49.5%
33.9%
P2
48.2%
33.9%
P3
48.6%
33.6%
OT
49.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |