Charlie Coyle vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 80.6%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 78.8%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 82.8%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Coyle
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Coyle
Buchnevich
Last 10: Coyle 1-9 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
6
Coyle
Buchnevich
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Coyle
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
34.5% (931)
+14.9%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
44.2% (52)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
24.3% (37)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Coyle
Buchnevich
Home
49.8% (4,865)
35.6% (517)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Coyle
Buchnevich
P1
49.5%
35.2%
P2
48.3%
34.8%
P3
48.8%
33.4%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |