Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 67.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 5: Coyle 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Coyle
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
49.4% (445)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
100.0% (3)
-42.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
41.9% (117)
+1.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
54.5% (719)
49.2% (248)
Away
48.8% (758)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
51.1%
48.3%
P2
50.0%
44.7%
P3
53.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |