Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.1%). Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Coyle
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Coyle
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
52.6% (464)
-0.3%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
100.0% (1)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
46.5% (155)
-2.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (567)
55.9% (322)
Away
52.0% (540)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
55.9%
P2
49.4%
46.7%
P3
52.6%
50.7%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |