Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 18-18 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Coyle
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
18
(36 meetings)
18
18
Coyle
Kuraly
Last 10: Coyle 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
5
Coyle
Kuraly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
4
Coyle
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Coyle
Kuraly
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
56.4% (101)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
44.4% (1,091)
-0.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (4,865)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Coyle
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
51.2%
P2
48.3%
50.0%
P3
48.8%
50.2%
OT
49.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |