Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 49.4% vs Aho 52.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 67.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 58.3%
Neutral zone
Kreider 58.8%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kreider
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kreider
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
1
0
Kreider
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kreider
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (125)
51.6% (819)
-2.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
58.4% (173)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
46.3% (67)
+3.7%
On power play, Aho has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kreider is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Kreider shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Kreider
Aho
Home
45.3% (64)
53.9% (568)
Away
52.1% (73)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Kreider
Aho
P1
51.1%
55.4%
P2
49.1%
51.2%
P3
48.5%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
35.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
42.0%▲
38.0%
48.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |