Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 46.7% vs Aho 50.5% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Aho 50.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 56.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Kreider
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
34.6% (26)
50.5% (878)
-15.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.5% (144)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
44.3% (61)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kreider is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Kreider shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Kreider
Aho
Home
47.4% (19)
53.8% (571)
Away
27.8% (18)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Kreider
Aho
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
35.7%
51.7%
P3
27.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
42.0%▲
38.0%
37.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%