Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kreider wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 43.3% vs Aho 51.3% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kreider 79.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.3%
Neutral zone
Kreider 67.2%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Kreider
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Kreider
Aho
Last 10: Kreider 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Kreider
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kreider
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kreider
3
1
Kreider
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (705)
50.2% (6,646)
-6.7%
Power Play
36.6% (71)
58.9% (1,310)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (32)
46.5% (465)
-15.2%
On power play, Aho has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kreider is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Kreider shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Kreider
Aho
Home
43.4% (417)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
41.4% (391)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Kreider
Aho
P1
41.1%
51.1%
P2
43.8%
52.1%
P3
43.0%
50.8%
OT
28.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
42.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |