Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Kadri 47.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 82.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 59.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Dvorak
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dvorak
Kadri
Last 7: Dvorak 4-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
46.2% (1,005)
+6.0%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
57.3% (199)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
26.7% (30)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kadri
Home
54.1% (423)
47.4% (641)
Away
50.2% (494)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Dvorak
Kadri
P1
51.4%
46.9%
P2
52.0%
49.5%
P3
52.4%
46.2%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
52.0%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |