Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Kadri 46.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 72.5%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Dvorak
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Kadri
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Dvorak
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
46.5% (866)
+7.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
48.8% (86)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
38.5% (13)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kadri
Home
53.9% (497)
45.8% (513)
Away
53.3% (522)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Dvorak
Kadri
P1
54.6%
52.4%
P2
53.2%
48.5%
P3
54.3%
39.7%
OT
34.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |