Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Kadri 49.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 60.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dvorak
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dvorak
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Dvorak
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
47.7% (975)
+9.3%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
54.0% (226)
+29.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kadri
Home
58.3% (151)
48.3% (621)
Away
57.4% (190)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Dvorak
Kadri
P1
56.7%
48.1%
P2
56.7%
48.9%
P3
59.6%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
57.8%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |