Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Hertl 56.8% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Sillinger
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
57.0% (718)
-9.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
64.9% (188)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
44.2% (77)
-7.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Hertl
Home
45.9% (488)
59.2% (463)
Away
46.7% (484)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Sillinger
Hertl
P1
45.0%
56.3%
P2
44.5%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
60.5%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.3%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%