Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Hertl 57.5% (-18.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.2%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 65.0%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 56.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Sillinger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sillinger
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Sillinger
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (101)
58.7% (858)
-21.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
55.8% (285)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On power play, Sillinger has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sillinger is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Sillinger shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Hertl
Home
35.7% (56)
60.1% (599)
Away
43.6% (55)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Sillinger
Hertl
P1
45.6%
52.4%
P2
28.6%
63.9%
P3
38.5%
58.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |