Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (184)
50.3% (479)
-1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.0% (28)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
30.0% (50)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Blackwell has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.7% (151)
48.9% (270)
Away
56.1% (157)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.5%
48.7%
P2
52.4%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
49.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |