Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 77.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 78.7%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 59.8%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
46.0% (250)
+2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
70.6% (17)
-70.6%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (86)
31.8% (22)
-0.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +70.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.3% (149)
50.3% (175)
Away
41.2% (119)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.1%
48.5%
P2
34.5%
45.9%
P3
47.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%