Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.4%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 59.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (706)
44.8% (8,775)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
50.6% (844)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (264)
37.8% (880)
+2.7%
On power play, Blackwell has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (802).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.0% (485)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
48.9% (523)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.3%
45.1%
P2
47.2%
43.9%
P3
48.1%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |