Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Colin Blackwell holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Blackwell 47.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 75.4%
Defensive zone Blackwell 58.0%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 58.2%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 4 (6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (649)
44.9% (8,714)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
50.3% (829)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (244)
37.8% (875)
+4.0%
On power play, Blackwell has a +12.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.6% (436)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
49.3% (495)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.0%
45.1%
P2
47.4%
43.8%
P3
47.4%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
43.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%
42.0%
47.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Colin Blackwell
Mar 26, 2025 1 10:47 Defensive Colin Blackwell
Oct 19, 2024 2 12:05 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 2 09:07 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 2 02:37 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 1 12:45 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins