Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Dewar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Dewar
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
45.5% (1,190)
+0.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.4% (94)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Dewar
MacKinnon
Home
43.9% (189)
47.8% (670)
Away
49.3% (221)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Dewar
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
45.3%
P2
50.0%
48.5%
P3
40.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
46.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |