Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.5%). Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Pettersson 47.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 6: McDavid 3-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Pettersson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
3
McDavid
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
46.3% (790)
+1.4%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
53.1% (147)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
51.9% (27)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
47.3% (387)
48.1% (489)
Away
48.1% (389)
46.9% (475)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
47.6%
47.4%
P2
50.0%
48.3%
P3
45.0%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |