Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Pettersson 46.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 40-30 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 65.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 64.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
30
(70 meetings)
40
30
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
11
7
McDavid
Pettersson
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
15
10
McDavid
Pettersson
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
14
13
McDavid
Pettersson
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
45.3% (4,613)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
54.5% (554)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
38.7% (243)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
49.3% (4,582)
46.8% (2,757)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
45.2% (2,653)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
46.5%
44.7%
P2
48.7%
46.1%
P3
48.3%
47.4%
OT
42.2%
39.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |