Connor McDavid vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Pettersson 47.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
McDavid
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
McDavid
Pettersson
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
7
McDavid
Pettersson
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
McDavid
Pettersson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
45.9% (834)
+1.8%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
55.1% (256)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
35.7% (112)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
McDavid
Pettersson
Home
50.0% (412)
49.1% (607)
Away
45.7% (394)
44.7% (595)
By Period
McDavid
Pettersson
P1
48.0%
45.5%
P2
48.5%
48.0%
P3
47.1%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |