Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 68.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
McDavid
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.6% (126)
+2.7%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (2)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
39.2% (51)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
McDavid
Jankowski
Home
53.6% (507)
45.3% (64)
Away
53.8% (539)
49.6% (115)
By Period
McDavid
Jankowski
P1
52.6%
53.7%
P2
54.1%
45.8%
P3
54.9%
43.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
53.7%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%