Connor McDavid vs Mark Jankowski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.2%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 56.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McDavid
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
McDavid
Jankowski
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
Jankowski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
3
McDavid
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
McDavid
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
51.5% (3,490)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
53.7% (95)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
42.7% (534)
+1.1%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
McDavid
Jankowski
Home
49.3% (4,582)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
McDavid
Jankowski
P1
46.5%
49.8%
P2
48.7%
51.1%
P3
48.3%
50.3%
OT
42.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |