Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Strome 46.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
McDavid
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
McDavid
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
46.4% (371)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
43.3% (97)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
55.6% (18)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
McDavid
Strome
Home
51.8% (415)
47.6% (225)
Away
50.4% (450)
44.8% (261)
By Period
McDavid
Strome
P1
47.5%
45.4%
P2
51.6%
47.6%
P3
55.5%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
51.1%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |