Connor McDavid vs Ryan Strome

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 48.1% vs Strome 45.9% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone McDavid 55.1%
Defensive zone Strome 52.7%
Neutral zone McDavid 50.3%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McDavid Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
45.4% (315)
+2.3%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
35.7% (28)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
50.0% (4)
-1.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +13.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Strome shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
McDavid
Strome
Home
50.0% (412)
42.6% (188)
Away
45.7% (394)
47.2% (159)
By Period
McDavid
Strome
P1
48.0%
38.6%
P2
48.5%
48.4%
P3
47.1%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.9%
Strome
50.0%
45.0%
44.7%