Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Hartman 48.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 59.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McMichael
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
48.1% (520)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
44.7% (47)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
47.8% (23)
+5.1%
On power play, McMichael has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hartman
Home
42.6% (54)
48.3% (360)
Away
50.9% (55)
47.0% (230)
By Period
McMichael
Hartman
P1
42.9%
48.5%
P2
40.5%
45.2%
P3
57.1%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
46.8%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |