Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Hartman 45.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 55.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 67.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 62.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
McMichael
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McMichael
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McMichael
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McMichael
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
45.1% (874)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
47.4% (95)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
37.5% (16)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hartman
Home
43.0% (298)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.6% (270)
45.3% (470)
By Period
McMichael
Hartman
P1
46.6%
47.3%
P2
40.8%
40.1%
P3
41.8%
48.3%
Final 5 min
43.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |