Connor McMichael vs Ryan Hartman
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Hartman 45.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 63.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 65.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 64.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
McMichael
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McMichael
Hartman
Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McMichael
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
McMichael
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
McMichael
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
45.2% (4,279)
-1.9%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
47.3% (446)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
42.4% (262)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McMichael is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (637).
McMichael shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hartman
Home
42.6% (976)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
43.3% (922)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
McMichael
Hartman
P1
43.3%
46.1%
P2
43.1%
42.9%
P3
42.1%
46.7%
OT
75.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |