Connor McMichael vs Sebastian Aho
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Aho 53.8% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 83.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 55.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 65.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
McMichael
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McMichael
Aho
Last 10: McMichael 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
4
McMichael
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.2% (785)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
63.8% (213)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
57.9% (57)
-27.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
McMichael
Aho
Home
42.1% (444)
54.9% (548)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.3% (507)
By Period
McMichael
Aho
P1
42.5%
52.8%
P2
41.9%
58.9%
P3
42.5%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
42.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |