Connor McMichael vs Sebastian Aho
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Aho 54.9% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 60.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 55.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McMichael
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
McMichael
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
54.5% (870)
-10.8%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
62.4% (266)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
37.1% (62)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
McMichael
Aho
Home
42.6% (54)
53.9% (603)
Away
50.9% (55)
56.8% (595)
By Period
McMichael
Aho
P1
42.9%
54.1%
P2
40.5%
55.0%
P3
57.1%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
46.8%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |