Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Zuccarello 49.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 59.4%
Defensive zone
Zary 63.5%
Neutral zone
Zuccarello 50.1%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Zary
Zuccarello
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zuccarello
0
1
Zary
Zuccarello
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
49.0% (51)
-1.9%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
50.0% (4)
-18.4%
On power play, Zuccarello has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Zuccarello is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Zary
Zuccarello
Home
45.6% (79)
47.1% (34)
Away
44.7% (76)
52.4% (21)
By Period
Zary
Zuccarello
P1
48.3%
58.1%
P2
46.3%
35.7%
P3
39.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mats Zuccarello |