Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Zuccarello 47.4% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Zary 61.6%
Defensive zone
Zuccarello 63.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.1%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Zary
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
41.2% (34)
-4.6%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On power play, Zary has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Zuccarello is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Zary
Zuccarello
Home
38.8% (152)
35.3% (17)
Away
34.8% (89)
44.4% (18)
By Period
Zary
Zuccarello
P1
33.3%
38.1%
P2
31.7%
40.0%
P3
47.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
37.3%
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.0%